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Early Warning: Risks for Violence Against Civilians in Chad
January 21, 2022
Chad’s risk increased significantly in this year’s Early Warning Project Statistical Risk Assessment, from 23rd in 2020–21 to tenth in 2021–22. In this interview, researcher and journalist Jérôme Tubiana discusses the risks for future violence against civilians in Chad. He describes potential conflict scenarios, drivers, dynamics, and recommendations for the international community.
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Risk of Genocide and other Mass Atrocities in Ethiopia
December 22, 2021
After a year of mass atrocities against Tigrayan and other ethnic groups in Ethiopia, the immediate risk facing civilians is expanding to new areas. Famine, crimes against humanity and war crimes by multiple armed actors are placing all civilians at risk with no end in sight.
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The First Yezidi Genocide Conviction: A Long-Awaited Spark of Justice
December 8, 2021
A German court handed down the first conviction for genocide for an ISIL member’s crimes against Iraq’s Yezidi community.
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Comparison Survey Launch: Which countries are most likely to experience new mass killing in 2022?
December 1, 2021
To help the Simon-Skjodt Center’s Early Warning Project forecast atrocity risk in 2022 and learn more about the “wisdom of the crowd,” please participate in our annual comparison survey.
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Countries at Risk for Mass Killing 2021–22: New Early Warning Report
November 29, 2021
Pakistan, India, and Yemen top the list of countries at risk for new mass killing in 2021 or 2022, according to the Early Warning Project’s latest annual Statistical Risk Assessment.
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Risks of Mass Atrocities in Burma Post-Coup
November 16, 2021
The Rohingya remain at heightened risk of genocide and mass atrocities. Other vulnerable groups include ethnic and religious minorities in areas where armed groups are fighting the Tatmadaw. In particular, an increased military offensive in Chin State in northwestern Burma is raising red flags of potential mass atrocities.
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Women and Hazara in Afghanistan Face Heightened Risk of Mass Atrocities After Taliban Takeover
September 13, 2021
While the Taliban takeover threatens civilians across Afghanistan, the country’s women and girls and Hazara populations are at particular risk of mass atrocities. Even prior to the Taliban’s seizing control of the country, the Early Warning Project’s Statistical Risk Assessment ranked Afghanistan second in the world for the risk of a new onset of mass killing of civilians in 2020-21.
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Climate Change, Resource Scarcity, and Group-Targeted Violence in Nigeria
September 2, 2021
The ongoing conflict between farming and herding populations in Nigeria exemplifies how climate change can intensify conflict between communities and place certain populations at increased risk of mass atrocities. Nigeria is pioneering a new initiative to change how it raises animals for food and other products. If successful, this system could serve as a model for other countries also threatened by farmer-herder violence related to climate change.
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Rohingya Remain at Risk of Genocide on Fourth Anniversary of Military’s Attacks
August 23, 2021
On the fourth anniversary of the Burmese military’s genocidal attacks on the Rohingya population we urge the world not to forget the victims and survivors.
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Civilian Risks Intensify in CAR Amid Electoral Crisis and Aftermath
August 20, 2021
A recent electoral crisis in the Central African Republic drew renewed attention to mass atrocity risks civilian populations have faced since late 2012. In the wake of the December 2020 election, opposition groups disputed the election results and armed rebels mounted coordinated attacks against civilians that continue today. The country now faces what one top United Nations official calls an “unprecedented humanitarian crisis.”
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Genocide Prevention
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