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June 17, 2021
The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast when and where new mass killing episodes are most likely to happen in the future. Each year we update our list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for ongoing mass killings in 2020.
December 3, 2020
Hilary Matfess, PhD candidate and USIP Peace Scholar Fellow, discusses the latest developments in the crisis and what they mean for the risk of mass atrocities.
November 19, 2020
Ethiopian civilians are at risk in the country's two-week-old conflict, where government and TPLF forces have already killed hundreds.
October 16, 2020
Protests against the Ethiopian government erupted in July after Ethiopian singer and activist Hachalu Hundessa was shot and killed in the capital, Addis Ababa, under unclear circumstances. State security forces responded with deadly violence, and the unrest continues to raise regional and ethnic tensions ahead of the delayed 2020 national elections.
March 30, 2017
The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast when new mass killing episodes might happen in the future. At the end of each year we update a list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for onsets of mass killing in 2016 and those cases that we can now judge have ended.
June 9, 2014
Our statistical risk assessments continue to identify Ethiopia as one of the world’s countries at greatest risk of state-led mass killing, and recent reports of violent repression in Ethiopia’s Oromia region suggest one pathway by which that dismal but still unlikely outcome could happen.