Rising political instability in Chad since the April 2021 death of the country’s longtime president has sparked concern of increasing mass atrocity risks. This instability risks worsening underlying and interrelated dynamics across the country. Urgent action is needed to respond to these risks.
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Chad’s risk increased significantly in this year’s Early Warning Project Statistical Risk Assessment, from 23rd in 2020–21 to tenth in 2021–22. In this interview, researcher and journalist Jérôme Tubiana discusses the risks for future violence against civilians in Chad. He describes potential conflict scenarios, drivers, dynamics, and recommendations for the international community.