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June 17, 2021
The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast when and where new mass killing episodes are most likely to happen in the future. Each year we update our list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for ongoing mass killings in 2020.
February 22, 2021
For the eighth year in a row, the Early Warning Project ran a comparison survey in December to solicit wisdom-of-the-crowd opinions on countries' relative risks for new mass killing. South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen ranked highest-risk.
December 1, 2020
To help the Simon-Skjodt Center’s Early Warning Project forecast atrocity risk in 2021, please participate in our annual pairwise comparison survey, an innovative opinion aggregation method, which presents countries head-to-head and asks respondents to choose which is more likely to experience a new mass killing in the new year. The survey will run for one month, until December 31, 2020.