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August 8, 2019
Forty years ago, the fall of the genocidal Khmer Rouge regime marked the end of four brutal years of mass deportation, forced labor, and extermination, which claimed the lives of an estimated two million people. On this anniversary, Cambodia provided a fitting backdrop for the 14th Conference of the International Association of Genocide Scholars aimed at rethinking genocide studies and prevention.
May 30, 2019
The incumbent Awami League’s sweeping electoral victory appears to signal a lower risk of mass atrocities in the near term.
March 19, 2019
The Early Warning Project considers the Democratic Republic of the Congo to be the top country to watch at risk for mass killing onset in 2019, while we determined that the mass killing in Sudan’s South Kordofan and Blue Nile states has ended. The following report compiles our determinations for ongoing mass killings in 2018.
January 17, 2019
For the sixth year in a row, the Museum's Early Warning Project ran a comparison survey to solicit opinions on countries' relative risks of an onset of mass killing. These are the top 15 countries at risk for mass killing in 2019.
December 20, 2018
The Early Warning Project’s multi-method approach suggests that there is an urgent need to analyze and respond to risks of future mass atrocities in the DRC. In particular, Congo-watchers should think critically about how the upcoming election, and its outcome, might exacerbate atrocity risks throughout the country.
October 9, 2018
This fall, the Simon-Skjodt Center will release the Early Warning Project’s Statistical Risk Assessment for 2018-2019, which ranks countries based on their risk for new episodes of mass killing. Using state-of-the-art quantitative and qualitative methods and a wide range of publicly available data, the Early Warning Project is a first-of-its-kind public early warning system for mass atrocities. The project aims to provide governments, civil society groups, and other influential actors with early and reliable warnings of mass atrocities and, as a result, greater opportunities to take preventive action
July 31, 2018
The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast where new mass killing episodes are most likely to happen in the future. Each year we update our list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for onsets of mass killing in 2017 and those episodes that we can now judge have ended.
June 11, 2018
South Sudan is the country most likely to see an onset of mass killing in 2018, according to participants in the Early Warning Project’s most recent public wiki survey.
May 21, 2018
One goal of the Simon-Skjodt Center’s research program is to explore new methodologies to advance the state of the art in atrocity prevention. Towards this end, a recent pilot project analyzed dangerous speech in central Mali, building on the Holocaust Museum’s hate speech work and adding to the Early Warning Project’s broader Mali assessment.
November 30, 2017
To help us forecast atrocity risk in 2018, please participate in our annual wiki survey, an innovative opinion aggregation method that presents countries head-to-head and simply asks respondents to choose which is more likely to experience a new mass killing in the new year. The survey will run for one month, until December 31, 2017.