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Early Warning: Risks for Violence Against Civilians in Chad
January 21, 2022
Chad’s risk increased significantly in this year’s Early Warning Project Statistical Risk Assessment, from 23rd in 2020–21 to tenth in 2021–22. In this interview, researcher and journalist Jérôme Tubiana discusses the risks for future violence against civilians in Chad. He describes potential conflict scenarios, drivers, dynamics, and recommendations for the international community.
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Comparison Survey Launch: Which countries are most likely to experience new mass killing in 2022?
December 1, 2021
To help the Simon-Skjodt Center’s Early Warning Project forecast atrocity risk in 2022 and learn more about the “wisdom of the crowd,” please participate in our annual comparison survey.
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Countries at Risk for Mass Killing 2021–22: New Early Warning Report
November 29, 2021
Pakistan, India, and Yemen top the list of countries at risk for new mass killing in 2021 or 2022, according to the Early Warning Project’s latest annual Statistical Risk Assessment.
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Democratic Republic of Congo: Rising Concern about the Banyamulenge’s Situation
July 22, 2021
In this interview, Delphin Rukumbuzi Ntanyoma, a PhD candidate and expert on Eastern Congo, discusses ongoing violence and risk of future mass atrocities against the Banyamulenge ethnic group in the Democratic Republic of Congo. He describes conflict drivers, high-risk areas meriting additional attention, and concludes with recommendations for policymakers focused on atrocity prevention.
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Local Populations at Risk of Violence in the Democratic Republic of Congo
July 19, 2021
In this interview, Congolese peace, justice, and genocide scholar Dr. Naupess K. Kibiswa answers questions about drivers of violent conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo and the Congolese govermment's response, details potential triggers of new violence, and concludes with recommendations for to the US government on how to help prevent mass atrocities.
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State of the World: Mass Killing in 2020
June 17, 2021
The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast when and where new mass killing episodes are most likely to happen in the future. Each year we update our list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for ongoing mass killings in 2020.
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Launching New Early Warning Risk List
March 12, 2021
In late February, the Early Warning Project launched its latest early warning risk list, identifying Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo as most likely to experience a new mass killing in 2020 or 2021.
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Comparison Survey Launch: Which countries are most likely to experience new mass killing in 2021?
December 1, 2020
To help the Simon-Skjodt Center’s Early Warning Project forecast atrocity risk in 2021, please participate in our annual pairwise comparison survey, an innovative opinion aggregation method, which presents countries head-to-head and asks respondents to choose which is more likely to experience a new mass killing in the new year. The survey will run for one month, until December 31, 2020.
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Call for Applicants: Early Warning Project Fellowship on Indonesia
October 13, 2020
The US Holocaust Memorial Museum’s Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide seeks applications for a fellowship to assess risks of mass atrocities in Indonesia.
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New Report: Efforts Towards Peace in Côte d’Ivoire’s Presidential Elections
September 10, 2020
With just seven weeks until Cote d'Ivoire's presidential election, supporters of political parties, security forces, and militias have clashed in the streets, resulting in fatality estimates from seven to 26. A new report from a Simon-Skjodt Center fellow analyzes the evolving risks of mass atrocities in the country and the steps that domestic and international actors have taken to help prevent large-scale violence around the upcoming elections
