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December 19, 2019
The Museum and Dartmouth College released their latest early warning report at a Capitol Hill launch event co-hosted with the Senate Human Rights Caucus and the Tom Lantos Human Rights Commission.
December 2, 2019
To help the Simon-Skjodt Center’s Early Warning Project forecast atrocity risk in 2020, please participate in our annual pairwise comparison survey, an innovative opinion aggregation method, which presents countries head-to-head and asks respondents to choose which is more likely to experience a new mass killing in the new year. The survey will run for one month, until December 31, 2020.
August 8, 2019
Forty years ago, the fall of the genocidal Khmer Rouge regime marked the end of four brutal years of mass deportation, forced labor, and extermination, which claimed the lives of an estimated two million people. On this anniversary, Cambodia provided a fitting backdrop for the 14th Conference of the International Association of Genocide Scholars aimed at rethinking genocide studies and prevention.
May 30, 2019
The incumbent Awami League’s sweeping electoral victory appears to signal a lower risk of mass atrocities in the near term.
March 19, 2019
The Early Warning Project considers the Democratic Republic of the Congo to be the top country to watch at risk for mass killing onset in 2019, while we determined that the mass killing in Sudan’s South Kordofan and Blue Nile states has ended. The following report compiles our determinations for ongoing mass killings in 2018.
January 17, 2019
For the sixth year in a row, the Museum's Early Warning Project ran a comparison survey to solicit opinions on countries' relative risks of an onset of mass killing. These are the top 15 countries at risk for mass killing in 2019.
December 20, 2018
The Early Warning Project’s multi-method approach suggests that there is an urgent need to analyze and respond to risks of future mass atrocities in the DRC. In particular, Congo-watchers should think critically about how the upcoming election, and its outcome, might exacerbate atrocity risks throughout the country.
October 9, 2018
This fall, the Simon-Skjodt Center will release the Early Warning Project’s Statistical Risk Assessment for 2018-2019, which ranks countries based on their risk for new episodes of mass killing. Using state-of-the-art quantitative and qualitative methods and a wide range of publicly available data, the Early Warning Project is a first-of-its-kind public early warning system for mass atrocities. The project aims to provide governments, civil society groups, and other influential actors with early and reliable warnings of mass atrocities and, as a result, greater opportunities to take preventive action
July 31, 2018
The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast where new mass killing episodes are most likely to happen in the future. Each year we update our list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for onsets of mass killing in 2017 and those episodes that we can now judge have ended.
June 11, 2018
South Sudan is the country most likely to see an onset of mass killing in 2018, according to participants in the Early Warning Project’s most recent public wiki survey.