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July 22, 2021
In this interview, Delphin Rukumbuzi Ntanyoma, a PhD candidate and expert on Eastern Congo, discusses ongoing violence and risk of future mass atrocities against the Banyamulenge ethnic group in the Democratic Republic of Congo. He describes conflict drivers, high-risk areas meriting additional attention, and concludes with recommendations for policymakers focused on atrocity prevention.
July 19, 2021
In this interview, Congolese peace, justice, and genocide scholar Dr. Naupess K. Kibiswa answers questions about drivers of violent conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo and the Congolese govermment's response, details potential triggers of new violence, and concludes with recommendations for to the US government on how to help prevent mass atrocities.
July 16, 2021
In this interview, Sylvain Saluseke, a Congolese pro-democracy activist, discusses ongoing violence and risk of future mass atrocities in the Democratic Republic of Congo. He describes conflict drivers, high-risk areas meriting additional attention, and concludes with recommendations for policymakers focused on atrocity prevention.
August 11, 2020
As violence escalates in Ituri province in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, the United Nations and International Criminal Court have raised concerns of possible crimes against humanity.
December 21, 2018
The Democratic Republic of Congo, Afghanistan, and Egypt top the list of countries most likely to experience a new mass killing in 2018 or 2019, according to a new forecast released by the Museum's Early Warning Project. The report’s release coincided with the launch of the project’s new website, including interactive data tools, accessible reports, and data files.
December 20, 2018
The Early Warning Project’s multi-method approach suggests that there is an urgent need to analyze and respond to risks of future mass atrocities in the DRC. In particular, Congo-watchers should think critically about how the upcoming election, and its outcome, might exacerbate atrocity risks throughout the country.
April 12, 2017
For the third year in a row, Sudan and Burma rank among the three countries at greatest risk of experiencing a new episode of state-led mass killing, according to the Early Warning Project’s annual rankings released today.
March 30, 2017
The Early Warning Project uses patterns from past instances of mass killing to forecast when new mass killing episodes might happen in the future. At the end of each year we update a list of countries experiencing state- and nonstate-led mass killing. The following report compiles our determinations for onsets of mass killing in 2016 and those cases that we can now judge have ended.
June 30, 2014
We recently added the following question to our opinion pool:
Before January 1, 2015, will the leader of another major militia group in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo surrender?*
This might seem like an odd topic for a system designed to assess risks of future mass atrocities. As this question implies, however, we also plan to use the system from time to time to assess prospects for the cessation or reduction of atrocities in cases where they are already happening. Our open question on the possibility of a peace deal this year in Colombia is another example.