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Comparison Survey Launch: Which countries are most likely to experience new mass killing in 2022?
December 1, 2021
To help the Simon-Skjodt Center’s Early Warning Project forecast atrocity risk in 2022 and learn more about the “wisdom of the crowd,” please participate in our annual comparison survey.
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Countries at Risk for Mass Killing 2021–22: New Early Warning Report
November 29, 2021
Pakistan, India, and Yemen top the list of countries at risk for new mass killing in 2021 or 2022, according to the Early Warning Project’s latest annual Statistical Risk Assessment.
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Risks of Mass Atrocities in Burma Post-Coup
November 16, 2021
The Rohingya remain at heightened risk of genocide and mass atrocities. Other vulnerable groups include ethnic and religious minorities in areas where armed groups are fighting the Tatmadaw. In particular, an increased military offensive in Chin State in northwestern Burma is raising red flags of potential mass atrocities.
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Women and Hazara in Afghanistan Face Heightened Risk of Mass Atrocities After Taliban Takeover
September 13, 2021
While the Taliban takeover threatens civilians across Afghanistan, the country’s women and girls and Hazara populations are at particular risk of mass atrocities. Even prior to the Taliban’s seizing control of the country, the Early Warning Project’s Statistical Risk Assessment ranked Afghanistan second in the world for the risk of a new onset of mass killing of civilians in 2020-21.
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Climate Change, Resource Scarcity, and Group-Targeted Violence in Nigeria
September 2, 2021
The ongoing conflict between farming and herding populations in Nigeria exemplifies how climate change can intensify conflict between communities and place certain populations at increased risk of mass atrocities. Nigeria is pioneering a new initiative to change how it raises animals for food and other products. If successful, this system could serve as a model for other countries also threatened by farmer-herder violence related to climate change.
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Rohingya Remain at Risk of Genocide on Fourth Anniversary of Military’s Attacks
August 23, 2021
On the fourth anniversary of the Burmese military’s genocidal attacks on the Rohingya population we urge the world not to forget the victims and survivors.
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Civilian Risks Intensify in CAR Amid Electoral Crisis and Aftermath
August 20, 2021
A recent electoral crisis in the Central African Republic drew renewed attention to mass atrocity risks civilian populations have faced since late 2012. In the wake of the December 2020 election, opposition groups disputed the election results and armed rebels mounted coordinated attacks against civilians that continue today. The country now faces what one top United Nations official calls an “unprecedented humanitarian crisis.”
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Civilians at Imminent Risk of Mass Atrocities in Dara’a City, Syria
August 5, 2021
The Simon-Skjodt Center is deeply concerned about the growing risk of mass atrocities in and around the southern Syrian city of Dara’a, where civilian casualties are mounting.
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Democratic Republic of Congo: Rising Concern about the Banyamulenge’s Situation
July 22, 2021
In this interview, Delphin Rukumbuzi Ntanyoma, a PhD candidate and expert on Eastern Congo, discusses ongoing violence and risk of future mass atrocities against the Banyamulenge ethnic group in the Democratic Republic of Congo. He describes conflict drivers, high-risk areas meriting additional attention, and concludes with recommendations for policymakers focused on atrocity prevention.
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Local Populations at Risk of Violence in the Democratic Republic of Congo
July 19, 2021
In this interview, Congolese peace, justice, and genocide scholar Dr. Naupess K. Kibiswa answers questions about drivers of violent conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo and the Congolese govermment's response, details potential triggers of new violence, and concludes with recommendations for to the US government on how to help prevent mass atrocities.
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Genocide Prevention
Country Case Studies
Find information on historical cases of genocide and other atrocities.