March 22, 2017
The Early Warning Project has announced a new research fellowship focused on increasing knowledge of early warning for mass atrocities in Mali. The Fellowship is intended to provide Early Warning Project audiences with a deep-dive into dynamics in Mali by describing scenarios that might exacerbate or minimize the risk for mass atrocities and outline policy options that the US government and international community can take to mitigate that risk.
For three consecutive years, Mali has ranked in the top 15 “high” risk countries in our Early Warning Project Statistical Risk Assessment for onset of state-led mass killing. Mali has consistently scored high in our elite threat model, which focuses on future coup attempts and new civil wars as proxy measures of factors that could either spur incumbent rulers to lash out against threats to their power or usher in an insecure new regime that might do the same. At the same time, northern Mali is facing continued insecurity due to armed groups and the ongoing fight between militants and peacekeepers, while criminal gangs and inter-group tensions are escalating violence in the country’s central regions.
The Early Warning Project Fellow will work with members of the Research Team to facilitate and co-lead field research, co-draft a public report on risks of mass atrocities and potential preventive actions, and participate in policy outreach on the results of the research.